Innovation is changing our world faster than imaginable with commercialising innovative technologies faster than most people realise. Disruption is the result of multiple new technologies and new business models. Check out articles on energy disruption, transportation and food and agriculture.
Stellantis Flawed Hydrogen Strategy
April 15, 2024
Previously we outlined ten reasons hydrogen was dead for transportation, yet we see Stellantis flawed hydrogen strategy proposed by the CEO. Despite Carolos Tavares says in an online event that the cost of hydrogen mobility is ‘sky high’, just two months after introducing eight new H2 van models. He says fuel-cell road transport is ‘far from being affordable’, with cost…
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Chinese Coal Drops from 70 to 45 Percent by 2030
April 14, 2024
Lauri Myllyvirta forecasts China’s coal dependency to drop from 70% to 45% by 2030, influenced by renewable expansions and energy policy shifts reported in April 2024. Despite local-global energy strategy conflicts and bureaucratic hurdles, China’s renewable energy sector is flourishing with vast solar and wind installations, and plummeting solar, battery prices. China’s energy security challenge is compounded by coal quality…
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Fitness Wearables For Disease Prevention
March 27, 2024
Cancer, heart and lifestyle diseases are rising. Dr Synder from Harvard shows better measuring of health function using AI and wearable monitors assist in changing lifestyle diseases. Prevention is better than cure, and early detection saves lives.
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Tesla Robotaxi Finance Model
March 19, 2024
Tesla has been promising a robotaxi for some years. This is a new robotaxi finance model and confirms what Tony Seba of RethinkX, or Ark Invest all predict. The robotaxi is a trillion dollar industry and Tesla valuation will depend on delivering robotaxi services.
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Scary Climate Change News 2° not 1.5° by 2040’s
March 15, 2024
Four indicators tell us a scary climate Change is more likely. Most are unaware, as they have taken the 1.5 degrees Net Zero. Research says tht the pipeline of CO2 and Methane will blow that out to 2 to 3 degrees by 2050. Aerosols, CO2 emission, and Methane are the major contributors
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Robotaxis not Rail for Sunshine Coast
March 13, 2024
Robotaxis not Rail for Sunshine Coast is a novel view of the 25 years of planning transport from Brisbane to the Sunshine Coast. The project has reached another milestone. Is it the wrong one.
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eVTol the End of Helicopters
March 3, 2024
Electric vertical takeoff and landing craft – a combination of helicopter and airplane are coming in 2025 as production and regulations are met. Piloted, 4 seater aand first focus is cross city Uber style from downtown New York, Chicago, Los Angeles to the airport. Joby and Archer are well funded to be sucessful
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China’s Energy Megabase Plan
March 1, 2024
China’s plan to have 445GW of renewabe energy in megabases to shore up the 1,200 GW planned by 2030 to be 25% low emission electricity supply.
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Nitrogen Fertilizer Replaced by AI and Bacteria
February 28, 2024
What if AI Genetics can create an organism producing nitrogen nutrient inside the plant itself. Conventional greening of nitrogen fertilizer is using green hydrogen instead of fossil fuel. Will the trillion dollar market for nitrogen fertilizer be disrupted?
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Zero Population Growth & Carrying Capacity
February 27, 2024
What is zero population growth? It is associated with carrying capacity or what is sustainable and equitable. Can the earth support 2 billion or 40 billion people? Population, food, energy house and labour workforce are discussed
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100 Companies Reducing 71% of Emissions
February 25, 2024
100 Companies Reducing 71% of Emissions are the key to challenging the 100 companies who generated 70% of emissions. Solar, battery, wind and EV manufactures are driving changes in emissions.
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100 Companies Responsible for 71% of Emissions
February 25, 2024
100 companies are responsible for 71% of emissions – and just 25 fossil fuel companies are linked to 51% of emissions. Many have little investment in reduction of emissions. even 8 years on from a 2016 report identifying them.
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New Vehicle Efficiency Standard for Australia
February 23, 2024
The Australian Government released the background briefing paper – Cleaner, Cheaper Cars to Run – New Vehicle Efficiency Standard for Australia in January 2024 and plan to enact legislation in 2024. Download the full paper here. The Govt Infrastructure Dept came up with 3 scenarios and ask interested parties to provide submissions by early March 2024. Supposedly the preferred legislation…
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Molten Oxide Electrolysis for Green Steel
February 21, 2024
The molten oxide electrolysis process by Boston Metals has the opportunity to revolutionise steel refining. During the past decade, they have progressed from lab scale to millions of tonnes industrial process and would enable rapid decarbonisation of the steel industry.
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AMOC Tipping Point – Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation
February 15, 2024
The Atlantic meridional overturning cirulating current coiuld be a major risk from climate change. No one can predict, but 7m sea rises and 5 degree termperature for Northern Europe.
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Tidal & Wave Power Untapped Energy
February 15, 2024
Tidal and wave power are untapped energy resources yet despite 2 decades have scarely moved beyond demonstration and pilot systems. The marine environment is harse, bespoke and has severe enironmental and social barriers.
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1000-Mile Battery Innovations
February 15, 2024
Multiple manufacturers announce progress in lithium batteries. Increasing density, decreasing cost, increasing range, faster charging, more cycle life. Will the 1000-mile battery make it into vehicles by 2030?
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USA Electricity Is Going Renewable – Rapidly
January 28, 2024
Globally, renewable energy is the dominant new electricity generation. The USA is followng other countries, particularly China with with over 99.8% electricity generation to come from solar wind and solar in 2024.
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Tesla Optimus Robot Worth trillions by 2030
January 27, 2024
Chris Camillo predicts a business with the Tesla Optimus robot worth trillions by 2030. Two 2 years ago Tesla announced Optimus at AI day on 21st Aug 2021, with an updated AI day on 1st Oct 2022. Optimus gained motion, dexterity and brains. Tesla developed its hardware, and actuators and demonstrated tasks such as sorting balls, holding drills, and folding…
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Steel from Aluminium Waste
January 25, 2024
Red mud is a hazardous waste from aluminium production and research is underway to extract the steel from aluminium waste. Using waste product from the aluminium industry to produce valuable green steel is promising. Can it scale from lab scale to production in a timely manner – technically and economically? The world’s most-produced metals, iron and aluminium, have high environmental…
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Scroll through the articles, or the full list is in the footer. Down there ↓↓
Why change discussion? Because change management relies on four core principles and these are :
- Understand Change.
- Plan Change.
- Implement Change.
- Communicate Change.
Change is happening rapidly. Climate change. Renewable energy. Transportation. This period of human existence is one of the great revolutions of the last 20,000 years, and the changes will be as or more profound as previous revolutions:
- First Industrial Revolution 1765
- Second Industrial Revolution 1870.
- Third Industrial Revolution 1969.
- Industry 4.0
This industrial revolution 4 will be as profound as previous ones. Over the 250 years of the first revolution, and 135 years of electricity, the advent of free energy will liberate the 30% of the global people who have energy poverty.
Commercialising Innovative Technologies
About 20 years ago, an astute Canadian told me there are 3 reasons people change.
- They make money
- They lose money
- It is the law
The strongest change is when there are 2 factors in play. So change can be sudden. Whenever something is 1/10th of the cost, change will happen. Adoption is often 10 years to get to 1% of the market. Then within a decade, it can hold 80% of the market. Often it is not a 1 to 1 substitution.
Article Perspectives
Check out the various recent blogs. I try to view these subjects from 3 perspectives.
- Technology. Does it work? We know that R&D and scaling of solution will drive up the tech, and decrease costs
- Economics. Are the compelling financial or economic drivers for change? Will these change with R&D or scaling?
- Politics. What are the institutional barriers or the individuals belief systems?
Innovation is never a straight line.
Challenges to Transition
The International Energy Agency says the data shows a looming mismatch between the world’s strengthened climate ambitions and the availability of critical minerals that are essential to realising those ambitions. This in the energy market is also true to other aspects of change over the next 10 years.